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Stocks/FX market: what to expect in 2008?

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Re: Stocks/FX market: what to expect in 2008?

Post by viktorados on Sun Feb 10, 2008 8:21 pm

Let's hope that China (production), Russia (oil) and other oil countries will keep up their growth pace => this can help the world economy to move on :)

Let us wait till summer - I hope that this turmoil will calm down a bit 8)

PS currently everybody is jumping out of stocks into treasury bonds, gold & platinum (recent two months).
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Re: Stocks/FX market: what to expect in 2008?

Post by westend on Mon Feb 11, 2008 1:09 am

you can make money from falling stock markets.
just learn about going short on the indexes.

here is a pdf,[among others in a great collection]
How To Make Money Shorting Stocks In Up And Down Markets.pdf
link
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Re: Stocks/FX market: what to expect in 2008?

Post by HaKa on Mon Feb 11, 2008 12:09 pm

Most people agree that stocks will continue to fall for maybe a year or two.

The problem in the banking sector and also the general problems with loans and also the diminishing appetite of the American consumer will probably be a big problem.

I also dont think that the other economies will be able (yet) to handle a problem that basically is mostly with America. But then, the interweaving is just too strong, and also, many foreign companies do a lot of business with American companies or even own some stuff in America.

So.. 1-2 year down (or on the same level as now, which is down :) ) and then probably up again.

I think the FED will also lower rates again and the dollar is going to become, more or less, worthless. But maybe this is going to help America reduce its massive amount of foreign debt..

Still.. wish everyone the best with their stocks/investments!
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Re: Stocks/FX market: what to expect in 2008?

Post by Sotos on Mon Feb 11, 2008 12:55 pm

Buy real estate in Canada instead!
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Re: Stocks/FX market: what to expect in 2008?

Post by leo_vip on Wed Oct 15, 2008 3:33 am

I am an investor and urge you to read up on value investing. The basic tenants are these:

1. Invest in undervalued companies
2. Sell them when they reach their correct valuation.
3. Always buy low and sell high.

Most people do the opposite, they hear a stock is hot an buy in when it is rising, this is not smart if you think about it. Stocks are not just paper notes, they represent a certain ownership in a company. When stocks are flying high, they become overvalued, selling at much more than their intrinsic value, and thus it becomes a game of fools. You buy in hoping to find a greater fool that will buy in at a higher price than you so that you can make a profit. This is ridiculous, yet many people do it. The correct way is to be wary when stocks are soaring, look at their intrinsic value and only purchase stocks from companies that are trading at a discount. Over time, the market will realize that they were undervalued and will valuate them at the appropriate price, at which time you can sell them for a profit. Right now is a decent time to invest, when the markets are down means that many stocks are selling at a discount. The hard part is doing the research and putting the time into finding those companies that are really undervalued and investing in them for the long term. This is how Warren Buffett (world's richest man, self made billionaire) made all his money.

Now as to the current state of the markets, we had a the largest percent gain since 1933 yesterday here in the US, but it was not real, it was based on the G7 meeting, the companies are not worth more than they were worth last week, nothing really changed in their underling values, thus, in a month or two the stocks will come down again when people realize that unemployment is still high, that the mortgage crisis is still present, and that the market has definitely not hit bottom.

trust me, when the market hits bottom, no one will be able to call it. The last hopeful investor will have already lost hope and everyone will have capitulated. This has happened in every market bottom historically. These days everyone is anxious to call a market bottom, but the bottom is still a long ways from now. Think end of 09 or start of 2010. the US has entered into a deep recession, taking the rest of the world with it. will things get better you bet. they always do, markets will fluctuate a lot until then, but in the long run everything will be fine. That is why value investors always win. They buy in low and sell high. It takes a lot of guts and discipline, but it is the only method that has been proven to work.
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